, Your Winning Site!

ML ODDS/TRUE ODDS: (5/3) numbers like this next to each horse in the handicapper analysis section is ML odds/True Odds. In this example the horse is 5-1 ML but his true odds are 3-1. The number on the right is the true odds and if the near post time odds are greater than the true odds, you have an overlay situation. An overlay is a horse that goes off at odds that are greater than it's actual chances of winning the race. To be a successful horseplayer, winning on overlays is the key! The calculation of the true is a tricky science and must be accurate. You will find our true odds are right on target! You will see horses with true odds of 4-1, 5-1, 6-1 etc win at odds of 10-1, 12-1, 15-1 20-1 or more! Every horse with our true odds of 6-1 and lower should be considered a major contender in each race. Overlays with true odds of between 6-1 and 12-1 land a good share of monster payouts.

COMMENT: Z Pattern/Up & Down Angle "Encountered traffic in last race, lost ground during the middle of the race but gained ground back once clear. A true sign of a tenacious thoroughbred with a big heart." There is an exact formula for this that has been tested over the years.
COMMENT: Speed & Fade Angle "Showed good speed from the start to the stretch in last start but faded late. Shows a pattern that indicates this horse might carry its speed further today." This formula spans 3 races and looks for very detailed criteria.
COMMENT: Close But Out Angle "Was out of the money in last start but finished within a few lengths of the winner. A lot of the time the betting public dwells on a horse's finish position and because of that, this horse could offer overlay odds today." The number of lengths beaten is the key here and we have the exact number! 1 more length and the angle falls big % points!.
COMMENT: Short Off The Layoff Angle "Forwardly placed in it's last race but came up short in the stretch. Was coming off a layoff, so that race was well needed, and could improve today." Days since last race, and last 2 races plus finish and beaten lengths make up this quality angle. Our in-house handicapper's secret recipe!
COMMENT: Post Position Angle "Had an outside post in each of the last few starts but gets a better starting position today finally."
COMMENT & ICON: "Within its last few starts this horse has matched or exceeded par for final time at today's class level and distance, a strong attribute." Here again, an exact
COMMENT & ICON: "Has the best early & mid pace ratings, the very important PACE ADVANTAGE!!." NOTE- If a horse has the best early AND mid pace rating in a race it's usually a very good sign. This angle produces many longshot winners. If the horse has other things to like as well the play becomes even more confident.
COMMENT & ICON: "Drops down into a claiming race for the 1st time and this angle can sometimes lead to winners at a big price."
COMMENT & ICON: "Gets 5 lbs or more weight off from last start and that can help a horse perform better." This comes into play better as the distances get longer. If it's a route race this could be very significant.
ICON: Horses that run well on wet tracks will get this icon.
ICON: The horse in each race with the best pedigree for a wet track will get this icon.
COMMENT & ICON: "Trainer does extremely well with those racing with lasix for the 1st time." We did a several year study on the major circuits and found certain trainers do extremely well with this angle.
COMMENT & ICON: "Trainer has been getting a good share of winners at value odds this year." If you see a horse you like at good odds this little comment will come in handy.
COMMENT & ICON "This horse has solid pedigree for today's distance." Now we add breeding info to our reports!
COMMENT & ICON "Has solid pedigree for racing on the turf" (if the race is on turf) Now we add breeding info to our reports!
COMMENT & ICON "Gets the nod for best final time rating of this field for this year which means this horse could be very tough if that race is repeated today." This lets you know which horse in the field ran the biggest race this year in terms of final time speed rating.
COMMENT & ICON "Odds offer value, could be better than rated. Looks like a live longshot." Each horse with this icon on the handicapper analysis report should be considered a LIVE VALUE PLAY!.
COMMENT & ICON: "Shows a spot play angle in that this horse seems to have high quality ratings for several important handicapping factors from it's most recent races." This is a little spot play angle that works well at most tracks. Gets a very good share of winners.
COMMENT & ICON: Top Trainer Angle. Also known ans special trainer talent, trainer move, etc. There are dozens of angles that you will see comments for.
COMMENT & ICON: Horse for the course frequently runs a top effort on this race track.
COMMENT & ICON: Has had good success at today's distance.
COMMENT & ICON: Trainer has been hot during the current meeting.
COMMENT & ICON: Has a very good record on the turf.
COMMENT & ICON: Recently had a workout in very good time.
COMMENTS: There are dozens more comments without icons as well. All OTHER aspects of the handicapping process are covered as well!
{ D T 3 E } = Wagering available in each race. D= daily double, 3 = pick 3, etc.
LSX 123 = HORSE IS GETTING 1ST, 2ND OR 3RD TIME LASIX. 1st, 2nd and 3rd time lasix on a 3 year old from January to August is a strong angle as is with a 2yo starting in October. 1st lasix for a speed horse is also a good angle.
RUN STYLE = THE RUN STYLE OF EACH HORSE. Running style,{E EP P S}, followed by early speed points (0-8) An E8 will usually try for the front early. If forming your own opinion a good thing to do here is to analyze each race to determine if there is alot of speed, not a whole lot of speed or a balanced shape (AKA = RACE SHAPE). E = FRONT, EP = EARLY PRESSER (just off the leader), P = PRESSER (just off 1st flight), S = SUSTAINED (late closer).
POW RTG = OVERALL POWER RATING. This is how we rate the contenders from top to bottom. The horse listed on top often makes a solid win play and at many tracks the horses listed in the top 2 win a very high % of races. This rating is how the horses are listed on our report from top contender to the bottom.
CLASS TL*RE Total Class rating overall (TL) and Recent Class (RE) for races within the last 6 weeks. This will give you an idea how good a horse has run overall and recently. Remember the higher the number the better and the bigger the gap from the top number to the next highest is what to look for. Overall you could consider this a very sophisticated class figure. We suggest always using a horse with the highest 1st number (TL) and the horse with the highest 2nd number (RE) in your wagers even if they are not listed in the top 3 or 4 selections.
ER PA = EARLY PACE RATING. Average 1st call pace number for most recent competitive races at or near today's distance. A horse with a 10 point edge or more in early pace has an advantage and sometimes produces longshot winners.
For SPRINT RACES (5f to 7f) this pace rating is for the 2f call. NOT 2f from the finish. It's from the start up to the 2f distance.
For ROUTE RACES (7.5f and longer) this pace rating is for the 4f call. NOT 4f from the finish. It's from the start up to the 4f distance.
MD PA= MID PACE RATING. Average 2nd call pace number for most recent competitive races at or near today's distance.
For SPRINT RACES (5f to 7f) this pace rating is for the 4f call. NOT 4f from the finish. It's from the start up to the 4f distance.
For ROUTE RACES (7.5f and longer) this pace rating is for the 6f call. NOT 6f from the finish. It's from the start up to the 6f distance.
LT PA = LATE PACE RATING. Average late pace number for most recent competitive races at or near today's distance. For all races this is for the distance from the 2nd call to the finish.
TOTL PACE = AVERAGE TOTAL PACE RATING. Mid and late pace rating added together. If a horse has the highest total pace and the early pace rating is one of the best in the race it's usually a very good sign. Especially if the race shape is in that horse's favor.
RATING: Pace Shape Ratings! This rating takes inventory of the speed points and run style for each horse. It then assigns each race a rating. Depending on the rating, you will instantly know if each race favors speed, a closer or a balanced shape. A race with a 4.5 or higher pace shape rating has a good amount of early speed. 5.5 or higher pace shape rating has a large amount of early speed and might favor a closer depending on the track bias (which you, as student of the game, have a log of in your notebook). Conversely, a pace shape rating of 1.0 to 3.0 could definitely favor those with early speed especially if the track bias is favoring speed more than normal. A rating between 3.5 and 4.5 is the balanced area and these races will go where the track bias takes them. Since Turf races favor closers, a pace shape rating in a turf race of 4.5 or higher definitely sets up for the best closer.
SPD FIG = FINAL TIME SPEED RATING AVERAGE. Last 3 races final time figure, higher the better. This fig is very potent if last race is recent, use with care when coming off a layoff. Look at workouts points. This figure is more potent with higher quality runners. Cheap horses rarely run consistent enough to weigh their last 3 races very heavily.
PRS LVL = Purse level of competitive races, the higher the better. "$"= dropping to lowest class level of career and if only 1 horse in a race has this $ symbol it's usually a good play.
RCT FIG = Recent Figure for last 3 races performance fig.
DST FIG = Distance Figure for races at today's distance and within 1 furlong.
CUR FRM = PREDICTED FORM. -3 to 9. The higher the better. This is a predicted form figure for today's race.
WRK PTS = WORKOUT POINTS. Since last race or 21 days if not raced in last 21 days, with 100 being ideal. This number comes in handy for layoff runners and also in maiden races.
CONFIDENCE RATING = Rating that takes into account the edge in power points the top pick has over the 2nd pick
~ = Switching tracks or surfaces today.
The C-A-P Report

CAP RATING = A class and pace favored overall contender rating. Also certain handicapping angles are used. Usually looks for value and tries to beat the favorite.
CAP = Class Angles Pace.
S P = Spot Play / Total Point Method Rating
R S = Run Style Rating - Numerical rating showing tendency to run near the front.
FRONT SPEED = - Front runner rating (the higher the number the better the chance of being on the lead) Any horse with the best RS & FRONT SPEED should be considered a wire to wire threat.
CLASS RATING = Overall Class Rating
EPS AVG = Average earnings per start over the last 2 years.
CMP LVL = Competition level rating establishing the highest purse level each horse ran for and was within 5 lengths at the finish (in the last year).
SPEED RATING = Final time speed average.
FINAL CALL = A late runner rating (the higher the number the better the chance of closing at the finish).
* = A spot play that works very good on turf but also good on dirt



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