Matt Bernier’s Picks – Friday November 6

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Matt Bernier’s Picks – Friday November 6

Matt Bernier's Picks

Matt Bernier's Picks

November 6, 2020

MATT BERNIER PICKS – Friday November 6

PLAY OF THE DAY – Keeneland R9 – 3) Alda, 12/1 ML

KEENELAND R7 – G1 BREEDERS’ CUP JUVENILE TURF

- OUTADORE (#8, 8/1 ML) has delivered two sparkling performances to begin his career for trainer Wesley Ward, and while he’ll be stretching out to a mile for the first time on Friday afternoon, this son of Outwork appears to be fully capable of handling the additional real estate. Over the course of the Keeneland fall meet, horses shipping in from Kentucky Downs performed incredibly well; if that trend continues, Outadore should be positioned well, as he won the Juvenile Turf Sprint at Kentucky Downs by a comfortable length-and-three-quarters. Although Irad Ortiz, Jr. leaves to ride Public Sector, Jose Ortiz is a more than capable replacement. Look for Outadore to be positioned close to the pace throughout in this year’s Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf.

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KEENELAND R8 – G1 BREEDERS’ CUP JUVENILE FILLIES

- In a race that features four undefeated two-year-old fillies, SIMPLY RAVISHING (#1, 5/2 ML) gets the nod. Trainer Kenny McPeek is in search of his first Breeders’ Cup victory, and this daughter of Laoban could be the one to deliver it based on the performances she is produced to date along with her running style. Breaking from the rail may force jockey Luis Saez’s hand a bit, but Simply Ravishing has shown the ability to win from on the lead as well as from a stalking position. Add in the fact that she is already won over course and trip, and Simply Ravishing presents a compelling case to win the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies and stamp her claim as Champion Two-Year-Old.

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KEENELAND R9 – G1 BREEDERS’ CUP JUVENILE FILLIES TURF

- On paper, the likes of Aunt Pearl, Plum Ali and Campanelle are the fastest to date and deserve consideration. Conversely, some of the shorter prices share similar running styles, preferring to be forwardly placed – potentially setting things up for a horse rallying from off the pace. Enter ALDA (#3, 12/1 ML) for trainer Graham Motion, who won this race last year with Sharing. A daughter of Munnings, Alda has never finished out of the money in four lifetime starts, and he most recent try at Woodbine in the Natalma Stakes was a strong showing. Despite not winning, her runner-up effort behind an extremely promising filly (Lady Speightspeare) was flattered when the fourth-place finisher returned to win a stakes event, earning a 79 Beyer Speed Figure in the process. Alda does not have much when it comes to early foot, so a hot and contentious pace would work to her advantage.

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