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September 3, 2020
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Churchill Downs Picks – Saturday September 5
September 5, 2020

Churchill Downs Picks – Friday September 4

Free Picks from handicapper Carl Nicholson
September 4, 2020

Churchill Downs Racing Picks on Friday September 4

Carl Nicholson previews the card at Churchill Downs on Friday:

RACE OF THE DAY RACE 11 – PICK: HOROLOGIST

A lot of eyes will be on MONOMOY GIRL given her record at the track. She is not the easiest however and can be a bit quirky in a finish. Favorites have not got a great record in these either so there are reason to take her on at short odds. VEXATIOUS was beaten my the latter when they last met, but then went on to score at Saratoga in a Grade 1 . She is a game mare and should be up to giving her old rival a stern test. SHE'S A JULIE won this contest last year and it looks like she has been planed out for a good run to retain the title. She was rather underwhelming on her latest start and that does pose a question mark. HOROLOGIST scored well last time out at Monmouth a couple of months ago. She looks the type that can go well in this, with plenty of experience & a game attitude & also gets a barn switch to a top outfit.

MONOMOY GIRL is sure to be very popular and rightly so given her win percentage at this track, but I think she can be taken on with HOROLOGIST who looks to have a decent sporting chance on the form book and now with Bill Mott could have more to offer.

OTHER RACES

RACE 12

This looks another high quality Grade 1 contest with likely odds on favourite GAMINE the obvious starting point for the delayed Kentucky Oaks for 2020. She likes to get on with things and has been turning away rivals over shorter trips in good style. This looks an altogether different test as SWISS SKYDIVER also likes to get on with things and has the post position to do exactly that. She looked to dig deep last time out and that is sure to have taken a bit out of her, this is a fairly quick back up from that. SPEECH has been knocking heads with the last to named horses and has been beaten by them on each occasion. But here are reason to think she can go well and is not one to dismiss lightly. SHEDARESTHEDEVIL is probably not an obvious one that jumps off the page, but her trainer has previous in this race with the winner of this back in 2018. She is 2 from 2 at this track and she put away decent field in the Indiana Oaks last time out. She stays very well and is still improving.

SHEDARESTHEDEVIL looks the one for me at a decent price with plenty of positives to take in to this race.

RACE 10

BY MY STANDARDS has been working very well with some good track work of late and should be suited to this slight drop in trip this time. McKinzie is the obvious one to be the biggest danger

Make sure to check out our Expert Picks section on a daily basis, we have analysis and picks from Matt Bernier and Andrew Champagne all week.

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