Churchill Downs Racing Picks on Saturday September 5
Carl Nicholson previews the Kentucky Derby card:
Race 14: Kentucky Derby – PICK: THOUSAND WORDS
All eyes will be on TIZ THE LAW in his bid to continue his unbeaten run this year. Plenty has been written and seen on his talent and he is the one the rest have to beat. Has a wide draw and that could be the biggest danger. HONOUR A.P is a decent type himself and despite being turned over at heavy odds on last time looks a worthy adversary to TIZ THE LAW. AUTHENTIC likes to get on with things and will be up in the van which seemed a good place to be yesterday. He has something to find on form, but Baffert is no stranger to squeezing out more when it comes to the big occasion, but a wide draw looks to have scuppered his chances. THOUSAND WORDS is from the same barn and is another who likes to go from the front & holds a verdict over his stable mate. Is drawn better too. MAX PLAYER has a great draw, but was well held by TIZ THE LAW last time; although the draw could make things closer this time.
No prizes for putting up TIZ THE LAW for many, but the wide draw is a big negative and THOUSAND WORDS is my play against the heavy favorite. He has a workable draw and likes to get on the front end which can be a good advantage around this track. MAX PLAYER is not one to ignore for the places either.Click here to bet on THOUSAND WORDS with Twinspires
SERENGETI EMPRESS won last year's Kentucky Oaks, and if at her best she'll be hard to reel in over this 7f trip once again. CE CE was given a break before her last run and will strip fitter this time, so looks the likely danger.
FACTOR THIS has been in tremendous form this season with 4 wins on the bounce and does run this track well. The barn scored with the Oaks winner yesterday so is in great form too. ROCKEMPEROR travels very well, but when push comes to shove does not always find a great deal and this type of company could let that trait resurface once again. SACRED LIFE scored in good style at Monmouth last month and that was on the back on a lay off. He looks the type to have more to offer at the highest level. DIGITAL AGE is from he same barn & has talent, but has been found out in this company before. DONTBLAMEROCKET will appreciate being back on a sounder track and is not an outsider to discount
FACTOR THIS has the form to win, but giving away a penalty will not be easy. SACRED LIFE came back to the track in great form last month and looks the type that can has more in the locker. But I think DONTBLAMEROCKET could outrun his price back on this quicker turf & is my selection win, place and show.
Matt Bernier also had the 15/1 winner of the Oaks yesterday that follows on from his 40/1 and 16/1 winners the past two weekends! He has six picks for Derby Day, check them out HERE.
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