We’re back at Delta for Tuesday’s late Pick Four sequence, which starts in the seventh of 10 races on the program. Regular readers know I try not to give out tickets costing more than $40, and I’m maxing out that budget on my ticket here for reasons that will become evident when we get to the finale. Let’s get to it!
RACE #7: We’ll start things off with a maiden claiming event for 3-year-old fillies. This race boasts a pretty heavy favorite, and I’m using that one, but there’s another I think you need to consider, too.
#3 MILANA is logical. She’s shown speed against far better company in each of her last two starts and ships in for Eclipse Award-winning trainer Brad Cox, who has won with three of his four starters at the meet. She’ll certainly be the one to catch, and I wouldn’t be shocked if she drifts down from her 7/5 morning line price.
However, I’ll also use #10 LEFT OF THE DIAL, who was claimed by Isai Gonzalez after a decent showing going two turns at this level last month. Gonzalez has hit at a 30% clip first off the claim, per The Daily Racing Form’s stats, and she closed lots of ground late in her lone one-turn effort so far in her career. If another runner goes with Milana early and softens her up, perhaps this one could pick up the pieces at a bigger price.
RACE #8: I really enjoyed handicapping this starter optional claiming event. It’s drawn some stalwarts from the circuit and several runners that have already found the winner’s circle this meet.
I’m going four-deep, and #2 MASTERLY hits me as a possible overlay. He’s 5-1 on the morning line but beat several rivals that also show up in this spot last time out. Some of his best efforts have come at this route of ground, where he’s won five times in 11 tries. Diego Saenz sees fit to ride back, and a repeat of his last-out effort will make him a handful here.
#1 TABIA, #4 GOTTA GO, and #9 GENTRIFIED are on my ticket as well. Gentrified is 12-1 on the morning line, but he’s run well in all three of his prior starts this season and would benefit from a speed duel. The faster they go early, the better his chances figure to be, and I need to have him on the ticket.
RACE #9: My biggest stand of the sequence comes here. We’ve got nine $4,000 claimers set to go postward, and I’ve landed on the 9/5 morning line favorite as my most likely winner of these four races.
#9 RUBY SIOUX may have moved a bit early last time out, when she was second going a mile last month. She cuts back to seven furlongs, a distance she’s won at before, and I think this trip will hit her right between the eyes. Gerard Melancon rides back for a solid barn, and the recent bullet drill inspires confidence. She’s a single for me, and that’s a good thing…
RACE #10: …because I have ZERO confidence in any runners set to go in this race.
This is a 10-horse field consisting of horses that have not won in the last 12 months. Many runners have had tons of chances, and because of that, I can’t even begin to whittle this down to a smaller subset of runners I deem to be contenders.
Because of that, I’m hitting the “ALL” button here. Perhaps morning line choice #10 ARTIST BY THE SEA breaks through, but I don’t think he had any excuses last time out, and the outside post position is a bit of a concern. I’ll try to beat him here, and if we get to this point with a live ticket, I’ll sit back, relax, and root for chaos.
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